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13 Sept, 21:25 BST
U.S. Bank Stadium
Minnesota’s concentrated passing attack and productive ground rotation overcame Green Bay’s explosive aerial flashes, while late defensive pressure defined the fantasy story.
92 receiving yards · 30 routes
Explore the game dataJefferson commanded Minnesota’s passing game with a 39.13% target share and 45.45% air-yards share, then converted that central role into eight catches, 92 yards, two touchdowns and a receiving conversion. The volume, touchdown access and near-perfect charted catchability make this the most complete fantasy signal from either offense.
Christian Watson turned eight targets into 147 yards and two touchdowns, while Matthew Golden led the Packers with 12 targets and a 30% target share. Yet Jordan Love absorbed 22 pressures, lost a fumble and threw an interception, leaving a high-yardage passing day unable to offset the decisive mistakes.
Jordan Mason paced the Vikings with 15 carries and 59 yards, while Aaron Jones handled 12 carries and scored once. Neither back was meaningfully involved as a receiver, but both found enough rushing work and scoring access to matter in a game Minnesota controlled late.
Carson Wentz did not need a high-volume outing to power Minnesota’s victory. He completed 12 of 19 passes for 133 yards and three touchdowns, adding a passing conversion without an interception. His 19.22 full-PPR fantasy points sharply outpaced his 10.87 expected points, a reminder that the result was driven by touchdown efficiency rather than a broad passing workload. The supporting process was favorable: Wentz faced pressure on only four dropbacks recorded by the advanced data and posted a 60% charted catchable-throw rate. Kyler Murray’s smaller relief appearance brought one interception, leaving Wentz as the meaningful quarterback takeaway from this opening-game evidence.
13 Sept, 21:25 BST
U.S. Bank Stadium
Minnesota’s concentrated passing attack and productive ground rotation overcame Green Bay’s explosive aerial flashes, while late defensive pressure defined the fantasy story.
92 receiving yards · 30 routes
Explore the game dataJefferson commanded Minnesota’s passing game with a 39.13% target share and 45.45% air-yards share, then converted that central role into eight catches, 92 yards, two touchdowns and a receiving conversion. The volume, touchdown access and near-perfect charted catchability make this the most complete fantasy signal from either offense.
Christian Watson turned eight targets into 147 yards and two touchdowns, while Matthew Golden led the Packers with 12 targets and a 30% target share. Yet Jordan Love absorbed 22 pressures, lost a fumble and threw an interception, leaving a high-yardage passing day unable to offset the decisive mistakes.
Jordan Mason paced the Vikings with 15 carries and 59 yards, while Aaron Jones handled 12 carries and scored once. Neither back was meaningfully involved as a receiver, but both found enough rushing work and scoring access to matter in a game Minnesota controlled late.
Carson Wentz did not need a high-volume outing to power Minnesota’s victory. He completed 12 of 19 passes for 133 yards and three touchdowns, adding a passing conversion without an interception. His 19.22 full-PPR fantasy points sharply outpaced his 10.87 expected points, a reminder that the result was driven by touchdown efficiency rather than a broad passing workload. The supporting process was favorable: Wentz faced pressure on only four dropbacks recorded by the advanced data and posted a 60% charted catchable-throw rate. Kyler Murray’s smaller relief appearance brought one interception, leaving Wentz as the meaningful quarterback takeaway from this opening-game evidence.
Minnesota’s receiving tree was concentrated around Jefferson, whose 30 routes produced 3.07 yards per route run and 31.2 PPR points. T.J. Hockenson was the complementary scoring piece, catching four of five targets for 36 yards and a touchdown; his 23 routes and 21.74% target share provide a credible secondary role in the same compact attack. Josh Oliver also drew four targets on only nine routes, though he finished with two catches and 22 yards. Jordan Addison ran 28 routes but converted neither of his two targets, while Jauan Jennings had one target across 19 routes. Those quieter results describe a single opening-game distribution, not an established trend, because no earlier-game sample was supplied.
Verified route counts. Route volume alone does not establish a future role.
Mason and Jones split the rushing work closely, with Mason’s 45% offensive-snap share just behind Jones’ 46%. Mason supplied more yardage and added 35 yards after contact, while Jones’ touchdown delivered the stronger scoring finish for his particular workload. The underlying rushing efficiency was modest for both: Mason averaged 3.93 yards per carry and Jones 3.33. DeeJay Dallas was a minor passing-down presence with one catch on one target over four routes, while Max Bredeson logged 24 offensive snaps but only two routes. That usage places the fantasy emphasis on Mason and Jones, with the latter’s scoring role doing substantial work in this result.
Love threw for 387 yards and two touchdowns, but his line was volatile: he completed 21 of 42 passes, took four sacks and finished with 19.48 PPR points against 22.18 expected. Watson was the decisive finisher, posting 3.87 yards per route and 32.7 PPR points on 38 routes. Golden supplied a different form of encouragement: his 40 routes, 12 targets and 137 receiving air yards point to a major weekly opportunity base, even though his 15.5 PPR points fell short of 21.99 expected. Golden also had one recorded drop. For fantasy managers, Watson supplied the elite result, while Golden’s usage was the most substantial non-Watson receiving signal.
Expected points describe the value of the opportunities received. Both figures use full-PPR scoring.
Jayden Reed remained involved, running 29 routes and drawing seven targets, but turned that work into only three catches and 20 yards. His 42.86% charted catchable-target rate is notable in context: it describes eligible charted throws, rather than every target. At tight end, Tucker Kraft drew six targets on 22 routes for 65 yards, while Jonnu Smith produced two catches for 50 yards on 17 routes; Kraft’s six targets make him the clearer volume option, even as Smith delivered the bigger per-catch output. On the ground, MarShawn Lloyd led Green Bay with 13 carries but managed 37 yards, and Chris Brooks added seven carries for 29 yards. Neither back caught his lone target, leaving the Packers without receiving insulation from the position.
Minnesota D/ST produced four sacks, an interception and a fumble recovery while allowing 22 points, directly matching the pressure and turnover problems that undermined Green Bay. Green Bay D/ST did generate three sacks and an interception, but it allowed 39 points and could not provide the same stabilizing fantasy backdrop. Will Reichard made his lone field-goal attempt and all four extra-point attempts. Trey Smack connected on all three field-goal attempts, including a 59-yard long, but missed one of two extra points. Bo Melton and Myles Price were more visible in the return game than on offense, with Melton recording 124 kickoff-return yards and Price 179.
Game-only statistics. Receiving PPR per route uses receiving production only. Week 1 observations are not established season trends. Missing data is kept separate from zero.
Statistics checked 16/09/2026. Reports and the Lab use the same published evidence edition.
Minnesota’s receiving tree was concentrated around Jefferson, whose 30 routes produced 3.07 yards per route run and 31.2 PPR points. T.J. Hockenson was the complementary scoring piece, catching four of five targets for 36 yards and a touchdown; his 23 routes and 21.74% target share provide a credible secondary role in the same compact attack. Josh Oliver also drew four targets on only nine routes, though he finished with two catches and 22 yards. Jordan Addison ran 28 routes but converted neither of his two targets, while Jauan Jennings had one target across 19 routes. Those quieter results describe a single opening-game distribution, not an established trend, because no earlier-game sample was supplied.
Verified route counts. Route volume alone does not establish a future role.
Mason and Jones split the rushing work closely, with Mason’s 45% offensive-snap share just behind Jones’ 46%. Mason supplied more yardage and added 35 yards after contact, while Jones’ touchdown delivered the stronger scoring finish for his particular workload. The underlying rushing efficiency was modest for both: Mason averaged 3.93 yards per carry and Jones 3.33. DeeJay Dallas was a minor passing-down presence with one catch on one target over four routes, while Max Bredeson logged 24 offensive snaps but only two routes. That usage places the fantasy emphasis on Mason and Jones, with the latter’s scoring role doing substantial work in this result.
Love threw for 387 yards and two touchdowns, but his line was volatile: he completed 21 of 42 passes, took four sacks and finished with 19.48 PPR points against 22.18 expected. Watson was the decisive finisher, posting 3.87 yards per route and 32.7 PPR points on 38 routes. Golden supplied a different form of encouragement: his 40 routes, 12 targets and 137 receiving air yards point to a major weekly opportunity base, even though his 15.5 PPR points fell short of 21.99 expected. Golden also had one recorded drop. For fantasy managers, Watson supplied the elite result, while Golden’s usage was the most substantial non-Watson receiving signal.
Expected points describe the value of the opportunities received. Both figures use full-PPR scoring.
Jayden Reed remained involved, running 29 routes and drawing seven targets, but turned that work into only three catches and 20 yards. His 42.86% charted catchable-target rate is notable in context: it describes eligible charted throws, rather than every target. At tight end, Tucker Kraft drew six targets on 22 routes for 65 yards, while Jonnu Smith produced two catches for 50 yards on 17 routes; Kraft’s six targets make him the clearer volume option, even as Smith delivered the bigger per-catch output. On the ground, MarShawn Lloyd led Green Bay with 13 carries but managed 37 yards, and Chris Brooks added seven carries for 29 yards. Neither back caught his lone target, leaving the Packers without receiving insulation from the position.
Minnesota D/ST produced four sacks, an interception and a fumble recovery while allowing 22 points, directly matching the pressure and turnover problems that undermined Green Bay. Green Bay D/ST did generate three sacks and an interception, but it allowed 39 points and could not provide the same stabilizing fantasy backdrop. Will Reichard made his lone field-goal attempt and all four extra-point attempts. Trey Smack connected on all three field-goal attempts, including a 59-yard long, but missed one of two extra points. Bo Melton and Myles Price were more visible in the return game than on offense, with Melton recording 124 kickoff-return yards and Price 179.
Game-only statistics. Receiving PPR per route uses receiving production only. Week 1 observations are not established season trends. Missing data is kept separate from zero.
Statistics checked 16/09/2026. Reports and the Lab use the same published evidence edition.