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Packers
Away20–17
Jets
HomeFinal20 Sept, 18:00 BSTMetLife Stadium
Final · Details
20 Sept, 18:00 BST
MetLife Stadium
Week 2 / Game Preview
Packers–Jets brings volume and a difficult defensive test
The Packers’ passing tree has immediate clarity, while the Jets’ core creators carry the most consequential questions into kickoff.
01 / The takeaway
Golden has emerged as the volume leader
Matthew Golden owns a 30% target share and 29.21% air-yards share, with 3 red-zone targets already giving him a central place in Green Bay’s passing design.
Matthew Golden30%Tgt%
Matthew Golden29.21%Air%
Matthew Golden3RZ Tgt
02 / The takeaway
Hall’s workload is meaningful, but his status matters
Breece Hall is listed questionable after handling a 68.75% RB carry share, 4 red-zone carries and 2 goal-line carries for New York.
Breece Hall68.75%Car%
Breece Hall4RZ Car
Breece Hall2GL Car
03 / The takeaway
Love gets a defensive efficiency test
Jordan Love faces a defense that has allowed -0.12 EPA per dropback—10th-lowest in the NFL, after he posted -9.65 completion percentage points over expectation in the opener.
Jordan Love-0.12Opp. EPA/dropback10th-lowest in the NFL allowed
Jordan Love-9.65%CPOE
Green Bay’s targets are concentrated
Matthew Golden ran 40 routes, creating a substantial early workload profile. Christian Watson produced 3.87 yards per route run and 0.86 EPA per target. Christian Watson faces a defense allowing 94 receiving yards per game to WRs—6th-fewest in the NFL: a restrictive early allowance against which to test his efficiency.
Matthew Golden40Routes
Matthew Golden30%TPRR
Christian Watson3.87YPRR
Can Love turn volume into production?
Jordan Love attempted 42 passes while completing 50% of them, and his passing EPA per play was -0.06. Jordan Love faces a defense with a 7.69% sack rate—11th-highest in the NFL and has a 254.5 passing-yard line, placing the focus on whether a high-volume approach can become more efficient. Tucker Kraft is questionable, which could further shape how Green Bay distributes its intermediate targets.
Jordan Love42Att
Jordan Love50%Completion rate
Jordan Love-0.06EPA/DB
New York’s offense flows through Hall and Wilson
Breece Hall averaged 4.64 yards per carry and 2 yards after contact per carry, while his 0.11 rushing EPA per carry supports the heavy early workload. Breece Hall faces a defense that has allowed 99 rushing yards per game to RBs—15th-most in the NFL but just 1 receptions per game to RBs—3rd-fewest in the NFL, potentially making his ground role more important than his receiving role. Garrett Wilson commands a 30.43% target share and 45.83% air-yards share, giving Geno Smith a clear primary option after Smith recorded 0.41 EPA per play.
Breece Hall4.64YPC
Breece Hall2YACo/Car
Breece Hall0.11
Sources & methodology
AI analysis of the player usage, efficiency and matchup data available before kickoff. Opponent yardage, receptions, touchdowns and PPR points are per team game for the stated position group. EPA is per play; designed-run EPA includes all positions and excludes scrambles. Allowance ranks run from most to least; sack-rate ranks run from lowest to highest. Recent opponent figures use the last four played games, while recent player usage uses the last four calendar weeks. Early-season samples are limited; missing data is not treated as zero. This preview remains separate from the postgame review.
- NFL team depth charts via nflverse
- Betting markets and kickoff weather
- NFL player statistics via nflverse
Data checked 19 Sept 2026, 12:40 UK time. Individual sources can update at different times.