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Dolphins
Away—–—
49ers
HomeUpcoming20 Sept, 21:25 BSTLevi's Stadium
Game details
20 Sept, 21:25 BST
Levi's Stadium
Week 2 / Game Preview
San Francisco's balance meets Miami's thin margin
Miami needs cleaner quarterback play while San Francisco sorts out a potentially shifting backfield.
01 / The takeaway
Willis faces a harsh efficiency test
Malik Willis opened with -8.85 completion percentage points over expectation and -0.17 EPA per pass play. Malik Willis now faces a defense allowing -0.35 EPA per opposing dropback.
Malik Willis-8.85%CPOE
Malik Willis-0.17EPA/DB
Malik Willis-0.35Opp. EPA/dropback
02 / The takeaway
Douglas has the most convincing Miami receiving profile
Caleb Douglas has commanded a 25.93% target share and produced 2.94 yards per route run. Caleb Douglas faces a defense that has allowed 108 receiving yards to wide receivers.
Caleb Douglas25.93%Tgt%
Caleb Douglas2.94YPRR
Caleb Douglas108Opp. Rec yds
03 / The takeaway
McCaffrey's status could reshape the ground game
Christian McCaffrey is questionable after playing 55% of San Francisco's offensive snaps and taking 41.67% of its carries. Kaelon Black handled 58.33% of the carries, making his role worth monitoring if Christian McCaffrey cannot take on more work.
Christian McCaffrey55%Snap%
Christian McCaffrey41.67%Car%
Kaelon Black58.33%Car%
Miami's quarterback problem
Malik Willis completed 55.56% of his passes while facing pressure on 40.5% of dropbacks in the opener. Malik Willis faces a defense with a 0% sack rate against opposing quarterbacks, but San Francisco's allowance of 168 passing yards and no passing touchdowns still leaves little margin for Miami's passing game.
Malik Willis55.56%Completion rate
Malik Willis40.5%Prss%
Malik Willis0%Opp. Sack rate
Douglas and Washington carry the target load
Caleb Douglas posted 0.23 EPA per target, an efficient complement to his volume. Malik Washington owns a 29.63% target share and 43.69% of Miami's air yards, but Malik Washington recorded -0.4 EPA per target; the offense needs those downfield looks to convert.
Caleb Douglas5.28Avg. separation
Caleb Douglas0.23EPA/Tgt
Malik Washington29.63%Tgt%
Purdy's efficient start
Brock Purdy completed 73.53% of his passes and generated 0.14 EPA per pass play while facing pressure on just 8.3% of dropbacks. Brock Purdy faces a Miami defense that has allowed 3 passing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks, a more inviting scoring signal than its 160 passing yards allowed.
Brock Purdy73.53%Completion rate
Brock Purdy0.14EPA/DB
Brock Purdy8.3%Prss%
San Francisco's backfield is the swing variable
Christian McCaffrey averaged 6.8 yards per carry and 0.27 EPA per carry before his questionable designation. Christian McCaffrey faces a defense that has allowed 144 rushing yards to running backs, while Kaelon Black brings a 58.33% carry share into the contingency conversation.
Sources & methodology
AI analysis of the player usage, efficiency and matchup data available before kickoff. Early-season samples are limited; missing data is not treated as zero. This preview remains separate from the postgame review.
- NFL team depth charts via nflverse
- Betting markets and kickoff weather
- NFL player statistics via nflverse
Data checked 19 Sept 2026, 12:40 UK time. Individual sources can update at different times.