1. 23.9%

   Bengals lead by 8+

   Cincinnati lean on the run (50.6% dropbacks when leading by seven or more), and Brown's share holds.

2. 29%

   Bengals lead by 1–7

   Brown's best script: 69.3% of the carries when the game is within six.

3. 7.5%

   Level

   Both offences stay close to their normal mix.

4. 24.1%

   Steelers lead by 1–7

   DK Metcalf's script: a quarter of Pittsburgh's targets in close games, against about 15% when they're ahead or behind by seven or more.

5. 15.4%

   Steelers lead by 8+

   Cincinnati have to throw into the league's 4th-best pass rush.

Share of games in which favourites of 2–5 points were in each position at half-time, 2022–25 regular seasons (531 games). Favourites won 63.7% overall. Team splits are from each starting quarterback's games since 2025.

1. 23.9%

   Bengals lead by 8+

   Cincinnati lean on the run (50.6% dropbacks when leading by seven or more), and Brown's share holds.

2. 29%

   Bengals lead by 1–7

   Brown's best script: 69.3% of the carries when the game is within six.

3. 7.5%

   Level

   Both offences stay close to their normal mix.

4. 24.1%

   Steelers lead by 1–7

   DK Metcalf's script: a quarter of Pittsburgh's targets in close games, against about 15% when they're ahead or behind by seven or more.

5. 15.4%

   Steelers lead by 8+

   Cincinnati have to throw into the league's 4th-best pass rush.

Share of games in which favourites of 2–5 points were in each position at half-time, 2022–25 regular seasons (531 games). Favourites won 63.7% overall. Team splits are from each starting quarterback's games since 2025.