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20 Sept, 21:05 BST
SoFi Stadium
Las Vegas brings a volume-driven backfield and a favorable passing matchup into a divisional road test, while Los Angeles looks to turn concentrated receiver usage into better quarterback results.
Ladd McConkey commanded a 25.93% target share and a 35.53% air-yards share, then turned that opportunity into 4.56 yards per route run. His early role and efficiency are far ahead of the rest of a Chargers receiving group carrying availability questions.
Ashton Jeanty handled a 76.67% carry share while playing 74% of Las Vegas’ offensive snaps, and he also drew a 20.69% target share. That dual-use role gives the Raiders a stable offensive focal point regardless of how the game unfolds.
Kirk Cousins faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 277 passing yards and 0.29 EPA per dropback to opposing quarterbacks. Brock Bowers, meanwhile, draws a defense that has allowed 95 receiving yards and 9 receptions to tight ends.
Justin Herbert posted -0.19 EPA per play and -6.21 completion percentage points over expectation in the opener, despite an average of 10.81 intended air yards per throw. Justin Herbert now faces a Raiders defense with a 13.51% sack rate against opposing quarterbacks and -0.21 EPA per dropback allowed, making clean execution a more demanding proposition than the passing-yard line alone suggests.
Ladd McConkey recorded 0.97 receiving EPA per target. Quentin Johnston saw a credible 22.22% target share but produced 0.63 yards per route run, and Quentin Johnston is listed questionable; Tre’ Harris is also questionable after a 22.22% target share.
Ashton Jeanty logged 23 carries and generated 4.43 yards per carry, with 2.48 yards after contact per carry. Ashton Jeanty faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 102 rushing yards to running backs and -0.04 EPA per designed run, so his heavy workload meets a more balanced resistance than his opening usage might imply.
Kirk Cousins completed 70% of his throws with 0.71 completion percentage points over expectation, although his average of 7.65 intended air yards per throw shows a controlled approach. Brock Bowers’ tight-end matchup offers a natural complement, while Ashton Jeanty gives Cousins another underneath outlet.
AI analysis of the player usage, efficiency and matchup data available before kickoff. Early-season samples are limited; missing data is not treated as zero. This preview remains separate from the postgame review.
Data checked 19 Sept 2026, 12:40 UK time. Individual sources can update at different times.
20 Sept, 21:05 BST
SoFi Stadium
Las Vegas brings a volume-driven backfield and a favorable passing matchup into a divisional road test, while Los Angeles looks to turn concentrated receiver usage into better quarterback results.
Ladd McConkey commanded a 25.93% target share and a 35.53% air-yards share, then turned that opportunity into 4.56 yards per route run. His early role and efficiency are far ahead of the rest of a Chargers receiving group carrying availability questions.
Ashton Jeanty handled a 76.67% carry share while playing 74% of Las Vegas’ offensive snaps, and he also drew a 20.69% target share. That dual-use role gives the Raiders a stable offensive focal point regardless of how the game unfolds.
Kirk Cousins faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 277 passing yards and 0.29 EPA per dropback to opposing quarterbacks. Brock Bowers, meanwhile, draws a defense that has allowed 95 receiving yards and 9 receptions to tight ends.
Justin Herbert posted -0.19 EPA per play and -6.21 completion percentage points over expectation in the opener, despite an average of 10.81 intended air yards per throw. Justin Herbert now faces a Raiders defense with a 13.51% sack rate against opposing quarterbacks and -0.21 EPA per dropback allowed, making clean execution a more demanding proposition than the passing-yard line alone suggests.
Ladd McConkey recorded 0.97 receiving EPA per target. Quentin Johnston saw a credible 22.22% target share but produced 0.63 yards per route run, and Quentin Johnston is listed questionable; Tre’ Harris is also questionable after a 22.22% target share.
Ashton Jeanty logged 23 carries and generated 4.43 yards per carry, with 2.48 yards after contact per carry. Ashton Jeanty faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 102 rushing yards to running backs and -0.04 EPA per designed run, so his heavy workload meets a more balanced resistance than his opening usage might imply.
Kirk Cousins completed 70% of his throws with 0.71 completion percentage points over expectation, although his average of 7.65 intended air yards per throw shows a controlled approach. Brock Bowers’ tight-end matchup offers a natural complement, while Ashton Jeanty gives Cousins another underneath outlet.
AI analysis of the player usage, efficiency and matchup data available before kickoff. Early-season samples are limited; missing data is not treated as zero. This preview remains separate from the postgame review.
Data checked 19 Sept 2026, 12:40 UK time. Individual sources can update at different times.