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20 Sept, 21:05 BST
SoFi Stadium
Las Vegas brings a volume-driven backfield and a favorable passing matchup into a divisional road test, while Los Angeles looks to turn concentrated receiver usage into better quarterback results.
Ladd McConkey commanded a 25.93% target share and a 35.53% air-yards share, then turned that opportunity into 4.56 yards per route run. His early role and efficiency are far ahead of the rest of a Chargers receiving group carrying availability questions.
Ashton Jeanty handled a 76.67% RB carry share while playing 74% of Las Vegas’ offensive snaps, and he also drew a 20.69% target share. That dual-use role gives the Raiders a stable offensive focal point regardless of how the game unfolds.
Kirk Cousins faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 277 passing yards per game to QBs—6th-most in the NFL and 0.29 EPA per dropback—9th-highest in the NFL. Brock Bowers, meanwhile, draws a defense that has allowed 95 receiving yards per game to TEs—4th-most in the NFL and 9 receptions per game to TEs—joint-most in the NFL.
Justin Herbert posted -0.19 EPA per play and -6.21 completion percentage points over expectation in the opener, despite an average of 10.81 intended air yards per throw. Justin Herbert now faces a Raiders defense with a 13.51% sack rate—3rd-highest in the NFL and -0.21 EPA per dropback—8th-lowest in the NFL allowed, making clean execution a more demanding proposition than the passing-yard line alone suggests.
Ladd McConkey recorded 0.97 receiving EPA per target. Quentin Johnston saw a credible 22.22% target share but produced 0.63 yards per route run, and Quentin Johnston is listed questionable; Tre’ Harris is also questionable after a 22.22% target share.
Ashton Jeanty logged 23 carries and generated 4.43 yards per carry, with 2.48 yards after contact per carry. Ashton Jeanty faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 102 rushing yards per game to RBs—joint-12th-most in the NFL and -0.04 EPA per designed run—14th-highest in the NFL, so his heavy workload meets a more balanced resistance than his opening usage might imply.
AI analysis of the player usage, efficiency and matchup data available before kickoff. Opponent yardage, receptions, touchdowns and PPR points are per team game for the stated position group. EPA is per play; designed-run EPA includes all positions and excludes scrambles. Allowance ranks run from most to least; sack-rate ranks run from lowest to highest. Recent opponent figures use the last four played games, while recent player usage uses the last four calendar weeks. Early-season samples are limited; missing data is not treated as zero. This preview remains separate from the postgame review.
Data checked 19 Sept 2026, 12:40 UK time. Individual sources can update at different times.
20 Sept, 21:05 BST
SoFi Stadium
Las Vegas brings a volume-driven backfield and a favorable passing matchup into a divisional road test, while Los Angeles looks to turn concentrated receiver usage into better quarterback results.
Ladd McConkey commanded a 25.93% target share and a 35.53% air-yards share, then turned that opportunity into 4.56 yards per route run. His early role and efficiency are far ahead of the rest of a Chargers receiving group carrying availability questions.
Ashton Jeanty handled a 76.67% RB carry share while playing 74% of Las Vegas’ offensive snaps, and he also drew a 20.69% target share. That dual-use role gives the Raiders a stable offensive focal point regardless of how the game unfolds.
Kirk Cousins faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 277 passing yards per game to QBs—6th-most in the NFL and 0.29 EPA per dropback—9th-highest in the NFL. Brock Bowers, meanwhile, draws a defense that has allowed 95 receiving yards per game to TEs—4th-most in the NFL and 9 receptions per game to TEs—joint-most in the NFL.
Justin Herbert posted -0.19 EPA per play and -6.21 completion percentage points over expectation in the opener, despite an average of 10.81 intended air yards per throw. Justin Herbert now faces a Raiders defense with a 13.51% sack rate—3rd-highest in the NFL and -0.21 EPA per dropback—8th-lowest in the NFL allowed, making clean execution a more demanding proposition than the passing-yard line alone suggests.
Ladd McConkey recorded 0.97 receiving EPA per target. Quentin Johnston saw a credible 22.22% target share but produced 0.63 yards per route run, and Quentin Johnston is listed questionable; Tre’ Harris is also questionable after a 22.22% target share.
Ashton Jeanty logged 23 carries and generated 4.43 yards per carry, with 2.48 yards after contact per carry. Ashton Jeanty faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 102 rushing yards per game to RBs—joint-12th-most in the NFL and -0.04 EPA per designed run—14th-highest in the NFL, so his heavy workload meets a more balanced resistance than his opening usage might imply.
AI analysis of the player usage, efficiency and matchup data available before kickoff. Opponent yardage, receptions, touchdowns and PPR points are per team game for the stated position group. EPA is per play; designed-run EPA includes all positions and excludes scrambles. Allowance ranks run from most to least; sack-rate ranks run from lowest to highest. Recent opponent figures use the last four played games, while recent player usage uses the last four calendar weeks. Early-season samples are limited; missing data is not treated as zero. This preview remains separate from the postgame review.
Data checked 19 Sept 2026, 12:40 UK time. Individual sources can update at different times.
Kirk Cousins completed 70% of his throws with 0.71 completion percentage points over expectation, although his average of 7.65 intended air yards per throw shows a controlled approach. Brock Bowers’ tight-end matchup offers a natural complement, while Ashton Jeanty gives Cousins another underneath outlet.
Kirk Cousins completed 70% of his throws with 0.71 completion percentage points over expectation, although his average of 7.65 intended air yards per throw shows a controlled approach. Brock Bowers’ tight-end matchup offers a natural complement, while Ashton Jeanty gives Cousins another underneath outlet.